TECHNICAL PAPERS

Aviation Accident Causal Analysis

Date Published: 1999-04-13
Paper Number: 1999-01-1432
DOI: 10.4271/1999-01-1432

Citation:

Ford, C., Jack, T., Crisp, V., and Sandusky, R., "Aviation Accident Causal Analysis," SAE Technical Paper 1999-01-1432, 1999, doi:10.4271/1999-01-1432.

Author(s):


Carl N. Ford - FDC/NYMA Inc
Todd D. Jack - George Washington Univ./JIAFS
Vicki Crisp - NASA Langley Research Center
Robert Sandusky - George Washington Univ.

Abstract:

This paper presents a top-down methodology for causal analysis of fatal aviation accidents. The methodology incorporates a three-tiered hierarchical approach to analyze accident causes and factors. These include looking at the big picture or ""profile"" of accident categories, followed by a detailed analysis that ""fingerprints"" each profile. Finally, an in-depth analysis is performed for each fingerprint which produces a ""DNA"" sequence breakdown for each accident category. The paper includes analysis results of National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) accidents from 1990-1996. Key areas are identified which most significantly impact current accident rates. This includes a ranking by accident type as well as identifying focus areas for future research.

File Size: 389K

Product Status: In Stock

See papers presented at Advances In Aviation Safety Conference & Exposition, April 1999, Daytona Beach, FL, USA, Session: Accident Investigation

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